IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Western Carolina
Southern
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.1	#215
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.2	#76
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.4	#161

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.6	#278

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.6%	5.4%	2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.1	13.3	14.3

.500 or above	33.2%	63.0%	30.5%
.500 or above in Conference	36.6%	56.9%	34.8%
Conference Champion	2.3%	5.5%	2.0%
Last Place in Conference	11.7%	3.4%	12.5%

First Four	0.2%	0.4%	0.2%
First Round	2.5%	5.0%	2.2%
Second Round	0.2%	0.7%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Georgia (Away) - 8.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 3	3 - 5	4 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 4	12 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	62	@ Georgia	L	70-85	8%
Nov 09, 2019	176	Gardner-Webb	W	76-75	53%
Nov 12, 2019	325	N.C. A&T	W	78-68	83%
Nov 15, 2019	18	@ Florida St.	L	67-86	3%
Nov 21, 2019	298	@ Jacksonville	W	80-78	57%
Nov 24, 2019	336	@ Stetson	W	82-76	70%
Dec 03, 2019	235	Chattanooga	W	77-73	63%
Dec 07, 2019	301	UNC Asheville	W	75-67	76%
Dec 18, 2019	23	@ Xavier	L	65-84	5%
Dec 21, 2019	310	@ Tennessee Tech	W	76-73	60%
Jan 04, 2020	306	@ The Citadel	W	88-86	58%
Jan 08, 2020	300	@ VMI	W	82-80	56%
Jan 11, 2020	204	Mercer	W	77-74	59%
Jan 15, 2020	102	@ Furman	L	69-79	19%
Jan 18, 2020	71	East Tennessee St.	L	73-80	27%
Jan 22, 2020	204	@ Mercer	L	74-77	39%
Jan 25, 2020	107	Wofford	L	73-77	37%
Jan 29, 2020	96	UNC Greensboro	L	71-76	35%
Feb 01, 2020	235	@ Chattanooga	L	74-76	43%
Feb 05, 2020	142	@ Samford	L	76-83	27%
Feb 08, 2020	102	Furman	L	72-76	36%
Feb 12, 2020	96	@ UNC Greensboro	L	68-79	19%
Feb 15, 2020	107	@ Wofford	L	70-80	21%
Feb 19, 2020	300	VMI	W	85-77	74%
Feb 22, 2020	306	The Citadel	W	91-83	76%
Feb 26, 2020	142	Samford	L	79-80	47%
Feb 29, 2020	71	@ East Tennessee St.	L	70-83	13%
Projected Record						12 - 15	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.3	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	1.4	1.5	0.8	0.3	0.0				4.4	2nd
3rd										0.1	0.8	2.2	2.4	0.9	0.1	0.0					6.6	3rd
4th									0.2	1.5	3.5	3.2	1.0	0.1							9.5	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.6	4.7	3.7	0.8	0.1	0.0							12.3	5th
6th						0.1	1.0	3.9	5.9	3.6	0.6	0.0									15.1	6th
7th					0.2	1.8	4.7	5.9	3.0	0.5	0.0										16.0	7th
8th			0.0	0.5	2.6	5.3	4.7	1.7	0.3	0.0											15.1	8th
9th		0.0	0.7	2.9	4.3	2.6	0.9	0.1													11.6	9th
10th	0.3	1.2	2.0	2.2	1.0	0.3	0.0														7.1	10th

Total	0.3	1.3	2.8	5.6	8.1	10.1	11.5	12.0	11.9	10.4	8.7	6.6	5.1	2.9	1.5	1.0	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Southern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	93.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
15-3	69.9%	0.7		0.4	0.2	0.0
14-4	39.7%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	14.8%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.3%	2.3		1.1	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		51.5%	48.5%	3.0%	8.4									0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0					0.0		5.9%
17-1	0.1%		36.9%	28.0%	8.9%	11.3							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1		12.3%
16-2	0.3%		24.1%	20.4%	3.6%	11.9											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2		4.6%
15-3	1.0%		19.2%	17.7%	1.5%	12.7												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.8		1.8%
14-4	1.5%		13.8%	13.8%		13.0										0.0		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0		1.3
13-5	2.9%		13.4%	13.1%	0.2%	13.8												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	2.5		0.3%
12-6	5.1%		8.1%	8.1%		14.0												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	4.7
11-7	6.6%		5.2%	5.2%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	6.3
10-8	8.7%		3.6%	3.6%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	8.4
9-9	10.4%		2.4%	2.4%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	10.1
8-10	11.9%		1.1%	1.1%		15.2														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	11.8
7-11	12.0%		1.2%	1.2%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	11.9
6-12	11.5%		0.5%	0.5%		15.5																0.0	0.0	11.4
5-13	10.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.1
4-14	8.1%		0.1%	0.1%		15.9																0.0	0.0	8.0
3-15	5.6%																							5.6
2-16	2.8%																							2.8
1-17	1.3%																							1.3
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		2.6%	2.5%	0.0%	14.1							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.8	0.4	97.4		0.0%